Loss Aversion in Prospect Theory:

Loss Aversion in Prospect Theory:

Loss aversion is a key concept in Prospect Theory, developed by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, which describes how people make decisions under conditions of risk and uncertainty.

Definition of Loss Aversion:

Loss aversion refers to the tendency for people to strongly prefer avoiding losses over acquiring equivalent gains. In other words, losing $100 feels more painful than the pleasure of gaining $100.

In the Context of Prospect Theory:

  • Value function is steeper for losses than for gains.
  • This means the psychological impact of a loss is roughly twice as powerful as a gain of the same size.
  • The function is also:
  • Concave for gains → risk-averse when gaining.
  • Convex for losses → risk-seeking when losing.

Example:

  • Gain scenario: You’re given the choice between:
  • A sure gain of $500
  • A 50% chance to gain $1,000
     → Most people choose the sure gain (risk-averse in gains).
  • Loss scenario: You’re given the choice between:
  • A sure loss of $500
  • A 50% chance to lose $1,000
     → Most people take the gamble (risk-seeking in losses).

Why It Matters:

  • It helps explain why people hold on to losing stocks (to avoid realizing a loss).
  • It influences consumer behavior, insurance decisions, negotiations, and more.
  • It’s a core departure from classical economics, which assumes rational, utility-maximizing behavior.

Shervan K Shahhian

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